Editor's note: MSNBC, FOX and the Associated Press have called the state of Ohio for President Barack Obama, which gives him the electoral votes needed to retain the presidency. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney has conceded to President Barack Obama in a speech tonight. Stay tuned for reaction, analysis, and updates of women in the races.
AP RACE CALL: Obama wins Ohio. #Election2012
We're all in this together. That's how we campaigned, and that's who we are. Thank you. -bo
With one day left before the presidential election, it’s all a numbers game: 538, 270, 48-48 are all being bandied about as America gets ready to elect its next Commander In Chief. However, a new poll from the Pew Research Center showing President Obama with a three-point nationwide lead gives Democrats reason to be optimistic—if only cautiously.
But other surveys, including a Gallup/USA Today poll, show the president exactly tied 48-48 with his Republican challenger Mitt Romney.
Even the New York Times' statistical It Boy Nate Silver predicts an 85% chance of Obama taking the Electoral College.
Nov. 4, 2012 - Hollywood, FL - Florida, USA - United States - Hollywood---Fl-obama-hwd-1104d--President Barack Obama makes a point while at the football stadium at Mcarthur High School Sunday afternoon. Robert Duyos Sun-Sentinel (Credit Image: © Sun-Sentinel/ZUMAPRESS.com)
Between that projected one point lead and the significantly stronger lead among early voters, it’s no wonder Obama supporters are spending the last days before the election making a grassroots push in swing states to seal the 270 of the 538 electoral votes needed to keep the president in the White House for a second term. According to a campaign memo released over the weekend, they are building upon the kind of grassroots network that worked so well in 2008, to reach out to hyperlocal hubs:
This is the difference between the Obama campaign and any other campaign we have ever witnessed. Ours is a people-centered, data-driven campaign that has built small, manageable neighborhood teams run by talented volunteers and supported by amazing field organizers who know the exact number of votes they need to win in their precincts.
President Obama, along with the First Lady and Vice President Joe Biden, will be making the rounds of swing states today and tomorrow. For the past few months, the president has given a clear and consistent message about what voters should back him for another term: women's rights, healthcare reform, opportunity for the middle class, and most of all, that he needs more time to finish hauling the country out of the economic quagmire he inherited.
And Obama is gaining more surprising supporters from the right. Sure, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie may be clarifying that his effusive praise of the president’s handling of Superstorm Sandy does not take away from his endorsement for Romney but, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and former Secretary of State Colin Powell stand by their endorsements.
Now, even CNBC’s “booyah!” stock guy Jim Cramer is betting on Obama walking away with a conventional wisdom defying 440 electoral votes.
While it’s too late to register voters in most states, and the margin of uncommitted voters down to just a few percent, the attention is now on making sure people can get to the polls, and once there, can cast their ballots without problems -- and there have been some.
In Ohio, a battle is already brewing over provisional ballots, and the deadline for legal briefs from Secretary of State Jon Husted and voting rights groups won't even be until November 8, which means if we see a margin as minuscule as the one we saw in Florida during the 2000 election, the winner may not be declared for a while.
And speaking of Florida, the Democratic Party is filing suit because some voters had to wait up to seven hours to cast their ballots in early voting. And the Department of Justice is sending 780 inspectors to monitor polls in 23 states.
As Bill Clinton said, it all comes down to one word: arithmetic.
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